SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 7 | 26 | 21 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 7 | -35 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | New Zealand |
54.26% ( -0.45) | 24.45% ( 0.25) | 21.29% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( -0.75) | 52.02% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.65) | 73.76% ( 0.65) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.45) | 19.1% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% ( -0.76) | 50.71% ( 0.76) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0.22) | 39.17% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.11% ( -0.21) | 75.89% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.29% |
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