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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Tre Fontane

Roma
3 - 0
Galatasaray

Corelli (9'), Ventriglia (82'), Linari (90+3')
Corelli (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-1 Roma
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Galatasaray 0-6 Lyon
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Roma Women 5-0 Galatasaray Women

Galatasaray have struggled to compete in their first experience of the UWCL group stage, and we think that they could experience another difficult outing in Tuesday's away fixture, where Roma should showcase their attacking quality to ease to a commanding victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma Women win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Galatasaray Women had a probability of 10.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Galatasaray Women win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma Women would win this match.

Result
Roma WomenDrawGalatasaray Women
75.09% (-0.182 -0.18) 14.46% (0.022 0.02) 10.45% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.629 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.47% (0.44399999999999 0.44)27.53% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.84% (0.55200000000001 0.55)48.16% (-0.543 -0.54)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.84% (0.069999999999993 0.07)6.16% (-0.0619 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.67% (0.18000000000001 0.18)23.33% (-0.172 -0.17)
Galatasaray Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23% (0.631 0.63)37.78% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45% (0.609 0.61)74.55% (-0.601 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 75.09%
    Galatasaray Women 10.45%
    Draw 14.46%
Roma WomenDrawGalatasaray Women
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.4% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 8.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 5.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 5.7% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.073 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.18% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.77% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.039 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 75.09%
1-1 @ 6.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 14.46%
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 10.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-1 Roma
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Roma
Wednesday, November 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-3 Lyon
Wednesday, November 13 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-6 Roma
Thursday, October 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Servette 2-7 Roma
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 0-6 Lyon
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-0 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 0-5 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, November 13 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-6 Roma
Thursday, October 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-2 Galatasaray
Wednesday, September 25 at 5pm in Women's Champions League


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