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Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
CN

Romania
4 - 1
Cyprus

Birligea (2'), Marin (42', 80'), Coman (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pittas (52')
Karo (16'), Antoniou (52'), Laifis (74')
Laifis (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Romania
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 2-1 Lithuania
Friday, November 15 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Romania 3-1 Cyprus

Last month's meeting demonstrated the gap between the two nations, with Romania recently enjoying a renaissance and Cyprus continuing to toil outside the world's top 100. While the Tricolorii must await the outcome of a UEFA investigation into their penultimate Group 2 fixture, there should be no doubts about the outcome of their last one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawCyprus
64.42% (1.194 1.19) 20.13% (-0.487 -0.49) 15.45% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (0.809 0.81)42.72% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (0.799 0.8)65.12% (-0.8 -0.8)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.59100000000001 0.59)12.54% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (1.215 1.22)38.56% (-1.216 -1.22)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.57% (-0.424 -0.42)40.43% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.385 -0.39)77.04% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Romania 64.41%
    Cyprus 15.45%
    Draw 20.13%
RomaniaDrawCyprus
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.57% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.208 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 9.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.13%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 15.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Romania
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Romania
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Romania 3-1 Lithuania
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Romania 0-3 Netherlands
Tuesday, July 2 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-1 Romania
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Cyprus 2-1 Lithuania
Friday, November 15 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 3-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Romania
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Kosovo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-1 Cyprus
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 1-4 Cyprus
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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