Romania were famed more for their defensive solidity under Iordanescu, but it was their attacking play that caught the eye in Pristina, and Lithuania could face a similar wrath here.
The visitors slumped to a poor home defeat to open the campaign and there is nothing to suggest that they can spring a huge surprise here to lift themselves off the bottom of the standings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
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