SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 0-3 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Romania |
8.16% ( 0.04) | 16.38% ( 0.07) | 75.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 40.48% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( -0.17) | 45.13% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -0.16) | 67.48% ( 0.16) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.02) | 54.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.19% ( -0.01) | 87.81% ( 0.01) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.07) | 10.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.39% ( -0.16) | 33.62% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 8.16% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.63% Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.38% | 0-2 @ 14.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 11.08% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 75.45% |
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