Cyprus have produced just one goal so far in Group 2, but home advantage could help them repeat their 1-0 win over Lithuania in the reverse fixture.
A tense encounter will be more about avoiding defeat for the hosts, but they may well claim maximum points by picking off their opponents on the break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw has a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cyprus has a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.5%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cyprus win it is 1-0 (5.34%).
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