After losing to Wycombe and Fleetwood last month, Rotherham showed enough improvement over their last two matches to suggest that they could edge this one, against an opponent who have not found the back of the net in almost 200 minutes of playing time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.