While the home side have struggled in this fixture recently, winning just one of the last six meetings between the two, with Reading's safety already guaranteed and Burton's potential safety on the line, we believe Burton will use the extra motivation to pick up a needed point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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