Burton are better than what they have shown early in the season, but Mansfield picked up an excellent three points last weekend, and we are backing Clough's team to make it successive victories at the start of their 2024-25 League One campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Burton Albion
61.1% ( -0.64)	22.29% ( 0.36)	16.61% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 47.82% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-0.98)

49.79% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

-0.88)

71.79% (

0.88)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.17% (

-0.54)

15.83% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.99% (

-1.01)

45.01% (

1.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.81% (

-0.22)

43.19% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.55% (

-0.18)

79.45% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 61.09%

Burton Albion 16.61%

Draw 22.29%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 61.09%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.61%