SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rushall Olympic win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rushall Olympic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rushall Olympic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rushall Olympic | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
40.56% ( -0.12) | 24.67% ( 0) | 34.77% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.02) | 44.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.02) | 66.74% ( -0.02) |
| Rushall Olympic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.05) | 21.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0.08) | 55.12% ( 0.08) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( 0.08) | 24.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% ( 0.11) | 59.52% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rushall Olympic | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.77% |
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