SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
55.78% ( -0.24) | 23.46% ( 0.1) | 20.75% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.24) | 48.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.22) | 70.8% ( 0.22) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.17) | 17.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( -0.3) | 47.63% ( 0.3) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% | 37.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( 0) | 74.6% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 55.77% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.75% |
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