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National League North | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 1
Spennymoor

Nalatche Mendes (55'), Cowley (90+1')
Nalatche Mendes (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbeka (27')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-3 Buxton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawSpennymoor Town
55.78% (-0.236 -0.24) 23.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 20.75% (0.135 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.241 -0.24)48.7% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.22 -0.22)70.8% (0.218 0.22)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (-0.172 -0.17)17.29% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)47.63% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17%37.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)74.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 55.77%
    Spennymoor Town 20.75%
    Draw 23.45%
Hereford UnitedDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 55.77%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Warrington Town
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-3 Buxton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 4-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-5 South Shields
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North


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