SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
27.64% ( -0.04) | 25.07% ( -0.01) | 47.28% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( 0.04) | 49.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% ( 0.03) | 71.18% ( -0.03) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( -0.01) | 31.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.01) | 68.44% ( 0.01) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 0.04) | 20.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( 0.06) | 53.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.64% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.28% |
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