SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
37.24% ( 0.08) | 25.31% ( -0.01) | 37.44% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.06) | 47.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.05) | 69.33% ( -0.05) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.07) | 24.79% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( 0.1) | 59.36% ( -0.1) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( -0.01) | 24.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( -0.02) | 59.21% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.44% |
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