SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
33.31% ( 0.8) | 24.52% ( 0.06) | 42.17% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( -0.03) | 44.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( -0.03) | 66.4% ( 0.03) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.47) | 25.6% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.63) | 60.47% ( -0.63) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( -0.4) | 20.97% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% ( -0.64) | 53.72% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
