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National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
C

Spennymoor
0 - 2
Chorley

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calveley (16'), Ubaezuonu (56')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
33.31% (0.799 0.8) 24.52% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 42.17% (-0.86 -0.86)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)44.02% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)66.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.47 0.47)25.6% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.634 0.63)60.47% (-0.634 -0.63)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.404 -0.4)20.97% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.636 -0.64)53.72% (0.637 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 33.31%
    Chorley 42.17%
    Draw 24.51%
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.122 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-3 Buxton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 4-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-5 South Shields
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-4 Chorley
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-0 Chorley
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Buxton
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North


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