SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Charleroi |
31.16% ( 0.56) | 24.91% ( -0.14) | 43.93% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.86) | 46.55% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.8) | 68.83% ( -0.8) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.8) | 28.18% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( 1) | 63.87% ( -1) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.17) | 21.23% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 0.26) | 54.13% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.93% |
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