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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
BL

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Bayern

Sontheimer (45+1'), Gaus (90+6')
Zeitz (10'), Sontheimer (72'), Gaus (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Karlsruher
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Saarbrucken 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's extensive list of unavailable players could ensure that Saarbrucken avoid the indignity of being thrashed inside their own stadium, but the visitors should still have far too much quality for their third division opponents to be able to handle. Tuchel will likely build around a strong defensive base of Matthijs de Ligt and Kim Min-jae while rotating wherever else he feels that he is able to do so, with the likes of Tel and Choupo-Moting always keen to impress when they receive rare starting opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Saarbrucken win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
10.84% (0.582 0.58) 15.45% (0.489 0.49) 73.71% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)31.57% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)53.07% (0.828 0.83)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.543 0.54)40.06% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.491 0.49)76.71% (-0.48400000000001 -0.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (-0.363 -0.36)7.33% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.51% (-0.971 -0.97)26.49% (0.978 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 10.84%
    Bayern Munich 73.71%
    Draw 15.45%
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 0.98% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.84%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.45%
0-2 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 8.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 5.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.98% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 73.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Karlsruher
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Saarbrucken 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, June 9 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Saarbrucken 1-1 Dusseldorf (7-6 pen.)
Tuesday, March 3 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Saarbrucken 0-0 Karlsruher (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Saarbrucken 3-2 FC Koln
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Saarbrucken 3-2 Jahn
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-3 Bayern
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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