SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
28.74% ( -0.12) | 23.35% ( 0.01) | 47.91% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( -0.13) | 40.71% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.13) | 63.09% ( 0.13) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.14) | 26.86% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( -0.19) | 62.17% ( 0.19) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( -0.01) | 17.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.47% ( -0.01) | 47.53% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.91% |
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