SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.1% ( 0.22) | 17.16% ( 0.19) | 69.74% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0.4) | 33.85% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.3% ( -0.45) | 55.7% ( 0.45) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( 0.06) | 38.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% ( 0.06) | 74.79% ( -0.06) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.27% ( -0.19) | 8.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70% ( -0.47) | 30% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.1% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.16% | 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.76% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.89% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)1-6 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 69.74% |
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