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FC
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parken
BL

Copenhagen
1 - 2
Bayern

Lerager (55')
Meling (54'), Lerager (63'), Vavro (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Musiala (67'), Tel (83')
Musiala (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 0-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern Munich

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Bayern, with Copenhagen boasting a lot of talent, especially in advanced positions. The German outfit have not exactly been at their free-flowing best this season, but we are expecting them to secure all three points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawBayern Munich
31.1% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.92% (-0.244 -0.24) 45.98% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 63.65% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (1.158 1.16)37.25% (-1.159 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (1.237 1.24)59.45% (-1.238 -1.24)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.52800000000001 0.53)23.64% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (0.756 0.76)57.74% (-0.756 -0.76)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.56699999999999 0.57)16.63% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (1.006 1.01)46.47% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 31.1%
    Bayern Munich 45.98%
    Draw 22.91%
CopenhagenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.46% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 45.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 24 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 Copenhagen
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 2-2 Copenhagen
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Viborg
Sunday, September 3 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Rakow
Wednesday, August 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-4 Bayern
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 7-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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