SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
62.31% ( -0.01) | 19.72% ( 0.32) | 17.97% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.99% ( -2.09) | 36.01% ( 2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.89% ( -2.33) | 58.1% ( 2.33) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( -0.61) | 11.1% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.49% ( -1.37) | 35.51% ( 1.37) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( -1.59) | 33.32% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( -1.78) | 69.94% ( 1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.48)1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.31% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.97% |
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