SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Barcelona SC |
66.21% ( -0.38) | 19.43% ( 0.24) | 14.37% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( -0.8) | 41.75% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% ( -0.81) | 64.15% ( 0.81) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( -0.33) | 11.75% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.08% ( -0.72) | 36.92% ( 0.72) |
| Barcelona SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% ( -0.3) | 41.3% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% ( -0.27) | 77.82% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Barcelona SC |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.68% Total : 66.2% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.43% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 14.37% |
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