Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
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