Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.1) 
