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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
SP

Talleres
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Ruiz (45+6'), Botta (53')
Benavidez (33'), Portilla (67'), Portillo (72'), Bustos (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Luciano (66')
Rafinha (2'), Luciano (72')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Talleres and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.

Result
TalleresDrawSao Paulo
36.74% (0.055 0.05) 28.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 35.22% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.69% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.63% (-0.182 -0.18)58.37% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (-0.14 -0.14)78.98% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)30.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)66.66% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.158 -0.16)31.42% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-0.181 -0.18)67.79% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Talleres 36.74%
    Sao Paulo 35.22%
    Draw 28.03%
TalleresDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.57% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Talleres
Monday, March 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 4-1 Tucuman
Sunday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Talleres
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 2-2 River Plate
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-2 Talleres
Saturday, February 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 3 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, November 23 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro


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