Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Frosinone
45.19% ( 0.32)	24.37% ( -0.08)	30.44% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

0.25)

44.43% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.19% (

0.25)

66.8% (

-0.24)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.24)

19.8% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.13% (

0.39)

51.86% (

-0.38)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.03)

27.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

-0.04)

63.12% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 45.19%

Frosinone 30.44%

Draw 24.36%

Sassuolo	Draw	Frosinone
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.19%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.44%