SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Sassuolo |
35.23% ( -1.09) | 24.55% ( 0.26) | 40.21% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( -1.37) | 43.74% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( -1.36) | 66.13% ( 1.35) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -1.22) | 24.36% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( -1.76) | 58.76% ( 1.76) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( -0.19) | 21.77% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( -0.3) | 54.96% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.21% |
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