European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Scotland
0 - 1
Hungary

McTominay (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Csoboth (90+10')
Styles (18'), Orban (26'), Schafer (44'), Kleinheisler (75'), Csoboth (90+11')

"100% a penalty" - Clarke furious over penalty call in Scotland loss to Hungary

Huge relief! Hungary FA provide Varga update after worrying collision

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Scotland 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, June 19 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	6	6
2	Switzerland	2	2	4
3	Scotland	2	-4	1
4	Hungary	2	-4	0

Hungary

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	6	6
2	Switzerland	2	2	4
3	Scotland	2	-4	1
4	Hungary	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Hungary
30.3% ( 0.58)	24.25% ( -0.06)	45.45% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

0.57)

43.98% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

0.55)

66.36% (

-0.55)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.67)

27.46% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.86)

62.95% (

-0.86)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49% (

0.01)

19.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

0.01)

51.39% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Scotland 30.3%

Hungary 45.45%

Draw 24.25%

Scotland	Draw	Hungary
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.45%