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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
HN

Germany
2 - 0
Hungary

Musiala (22'), Gundogan (67')
Rudiger (27'), Mittelstadt (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varga (22'), Rossi (90+3'), Szoboszlai (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Germany 5-1 Scotland
Friday, June 14 at 8pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Hungary 1-3 Switzerland
Saturday, June 15 at 2pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawHungary
48.18% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.43% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.8% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)18.56% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)49.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)65.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Germany 48.18%
    Hungary 27.8%
    Draw 24.02%
GermanyDrawHungary
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 48.18%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 27.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Germany 5-1 Scotland
Friday, June 14 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Greece
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: France 0-2 Germany
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Germany
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 1-3 Switzerland
Saturday, June 15 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Hungary 3-0 Israel
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 2-0 Kosovo
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Turkey
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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