SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Israel |
36.25% ( 0.02) | 26.8% ( 0.02) | 36.95% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.43% ( -0.06) | 53.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( -0.06) | 75.07% ( 0.06) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -0.03) | 28.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.84% ( -0.03) | 64.16% ( 0.03) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.05) | 27.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0.06) | 63.63% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Israel |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.94% |
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