SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Scotland | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Scotland | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Switzerland |
28.31% ( 0.29) | 26.05% ( 0.09) | 45.64% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( -0.21) | 52.68% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( -0.18) | 74.32% ( 0.18) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.11) | 33.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 0.12) | 69.96% ( -0.12) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0.27) | 23.03% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( -0.39) | 56.85% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.31% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.63% |
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