SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
19.59% ( -0.06) | 26.44% ( 0.09) | 53.97% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.61% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.17% ( -0.35) | 60.83% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( -0.26) | 80.87% ( 0.26) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.88% ( -0.27) | 46.12% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.18% ( -0.21) | 81.82% ( 0.21) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.16) | 22.76% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.24) | 56.45% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.59% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 15.53% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 11.49% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.96% |
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