SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
34.49% ( 0.01) | 26.67% ( -0.17) | 38.84% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( 0.69) | 53.16% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( 0.58) | 74.73% ( -0.58) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( 0.34) | 29.29% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( 0.42) | 65.26% ( -0.42) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( 0.41) | 26.71% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( 0.54) | 61.97% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.83% |
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