SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 28.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
28.33% ( 0.72) | 28.75% ( -0.11) | 42.91% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0.65) | 62.37% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% ( 0.47) | 82.01% ( -0.47) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% ( 0.96) | 38.56% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( 0.9) | 75.31% ( -0.9) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.01) | 28.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( -0.02) | 64.7% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.33% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.22)1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.91% |
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