SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | PAOK |
19.94% ( -7.47) | 22.32% ( -2.56) | 57.73% ( 10.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 3.55) | 44.9% ( -3.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 3.32) | 67.26% ( -3.32) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( -4.68) | 36.49% ( 4.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( -5.03) | 73.27% ( 5.03) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 5.07) | 15.28% ( -5.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.01% ( 8.76) | 43.98% ( -8.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -1.79) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -1.44)2-0 @ 2.83% ( -1.41)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.79)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.67)Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.94% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -1.24) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.9)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 9.84% ( 1.63)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 1.22)0-3 @ 6.16% ( 1.81)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.93)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 1.16)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.33)1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.46)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.54)Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.73% |
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