SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
56.54% ( -0.03) | 21.61% ( -0) | 21.85% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.03) | 39.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( 0.03) | 61.44% ( -0.04) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% | 13.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.03% ( 0.01) | 40.96% ( -0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.04) | 31.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.28% ( 0.05) | 67.72% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.54% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.85% |
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