With Wigan on a three-match undefeated streak, it would be naive to write off the visitors. Nevertheless, Sheffield United sense an opportunity to move further clear of Middlesbrough, leading us to back a professional performance and win for the home side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
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