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WL
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
WL

Watford
1 - 1
Wigan

Davis (45')
Wilder (30'), Davis (89'), Louza (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McClean (51')
Power (29'), Rekik (29'), Sinani (45+2'), Darikwa (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Watford started quickly during the win over Birmingham, and Wilder will be hoping his team do the same on Saturday against a Wigan side who struggle to recover from losing positions, especially away from home. The Latics face another formidable opponent on the road after trips to West Bromwich Albion and Burnley earlier in the month, and we expect Maloney's men to earn nothing out of their Vicarage Road test on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
53.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.82% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.19% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)53.41% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)74.94% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)19.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.83%
    Wigan Athletic 21.33%
    Draw 24.82%
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Preston
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Watford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-2 West Brom
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship


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