SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
38.06% ( 1.23) | 27.19% ( -0.28) | 34.75% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( 1.02) | 55.19% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( 0.83) | 76.43% ( -0.83) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( 1.22) | 28.11% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( 1.53) | 63.79% ( -1.52) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.09) | 30.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( -0.11) | 66.27% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.75% |
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