Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.03) 
