SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
45.5% ( -0.19) | 26.57% ( 0.12) | 27.93% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% ( -0.42) | 54.9% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% ( -0.35) | 76.19% ( 0.34) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.27) | 24.06% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.39) | 58.33% ( 0.39) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.17) | 34.82% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( -0.18) | 71.55% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.93% |
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