SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
58.42% ( -3.48) | 22.46% ( 1.44) | 19.13% ( 2.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( -3) | 46.64% ( 3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% ( -2.88) | 68.9% ( 2.88) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( -2.09) | 15.65% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.33% ( -4.03) | 44.67% ( 4.03) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.57) | 38.36% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( 0.55) | 75.11% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.51)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.47)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.3)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.41% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.71) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.73)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.13% |
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