SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
26.51% ( 0.22) | 24.07% ( 0.06) | 49.42% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( -0.11) | 45.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( -0.1) | 67.92% ( 0.11) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( 0.11) | 31.01% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( 0.13) | 67.32% ( -0.13) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -0.15) | 18.52% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( -0.26) | 49.75% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.42% |
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