SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
34.77% ( 0.01) | 27.38% ( 0) | 37.85% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.01) | 55.95% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( 0) | 77.05% ( -0) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( 0.01) | 30.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( 0.02) | 66.71% ( -0.01) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0) | 28.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( -0) | 64.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.84% |
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