SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
31.04% ( 0.06) | 23.13% | 45.83% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.03) | 38.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.39% ( 0.04) | 60.61% ( -0.04) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( 0.05) | 24.21% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( 0.08) | 58.54% ( -0.08) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( -0.01) | 17.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% ( -0.02) | 47.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 45.83% |
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