SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
39.97% ( 0) | 25% ( 0.18) | 35.02% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.83) | 45.85% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( -0.79) | 68.17% ( 0.79) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.36) | 22.81% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( -0.54) | 56.52% ( 0.54) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.49) | 25.46% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -0.68) | 60.29% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.02% |
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