SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
26.96% ( 0.54) | 23.91% ( -0.08) | 49.13% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( 0.76) | 44.51% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( 0.73) | 66.88% ( -0.73) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.81) | 30.09% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( 0.96) | 66.22% ( -0.96) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0.12) | 18.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( 0.2) | 49.24% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.13% |
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