SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
30.42% ( -0.34) | 23.16% ( -0.05) | 46.41% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 62.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.19% ( 0.03) | 38.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.88% ( 0.03) | 61.12% ( -0.03) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.19) | 24.82% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( -0.27) | 59.41% ( 0.27) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0.16) | 17.08% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( 0.29) | 47.25% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.15% Total : 46.41% |
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