SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest GAIS win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | GAIS |
48.67% ( 0.13) | 23.49% ( 0) | 27.84% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( -0.12) | 41.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.12) | 64.36% ( 0.12) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( 0) | 17.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% ( 0) | 47.86% ( -0) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.16) | 28.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( -0.2) | 63.8% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | GAIS |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.67% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.84% |
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