SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
47.26% ( -0.29) | 22.17% ( 0.09) | 30.57% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 66.14% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.13% ( -0.34) | 33.87% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.28% ( -0.39) | 55.72% ( 0.39) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0.23) | 14.89% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.44) | 43.24% ( 0.44) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( -0.05) | 22.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -0.08) | 55.76% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.57% |
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