SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Sturm Graz |
37.55% ( 0.12) | 24.95% ( 0.01) | 37.5% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.04) | 45.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( -0.04) | 67.76% ( 0.03) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( 0.05) | 23.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( 0.07) | 58.06% ( -0.07) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.09) | 23.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.9% ( -0.12) | 58.1% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.5% |
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