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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
SB

Lille
2 - 1
Slovan Bratislava

Yazici (68'), Cabella (82')
Diakite (63'), Bentaleb (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cavric (23')
Kucka (75'), Wimmer (90+5')
Lovat (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lille 2-0 Slovan Bratislava

Lille will be in the mood to claim top spot in Group A after being forced to share the spoils in the Faroe Islands against Klaksvik last time out. Bratislava are enjoying plenty of success in Slovakia and on the continent during the opening stages of the term, but we believe that their winning run will come to an end on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawSlovan Bratislava
54.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23% (0.0020000000000024 0) 22.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)67.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.31% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.64%
    Slovan Bratislava 22.35%
    Draw 23%
LilleDrawSlovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Brest
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Sunday, October 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: KI 0-0 Lille
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Lille
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Reims
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Ljubljana
Wednesday, September 20 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Trencin
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-1 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zlate Moravce 0-3 Slovan Bratislava
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, September 27 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Zilina
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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